Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?

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Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-8.2 pp

Signal Score

54/100

Data Confidence

High (80)

24h probability fell 8.2pp; volume is 6.3x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 17 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-07 16:37 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability fell 8.2pp
24h volume is 6.3x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $50,532

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-8.2 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

154 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 7, 04:30 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/7/2026, 4:30:00 PM	0.1%
8/7/2026, 4:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/7/2026, 3:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/7/2026, 2:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/7/2026, 1:00:00 PM	0.4%
8/7/2026, 12:30:00 PM	0.5%
8/7/2026, 12:00:00 PM	0.4%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 AM	0.5%
8/7/2026, 10:00:00 AM	0.5%
8/7/2026, 9:30:00 AM	0.5%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 AM	0.9%
8/7/2026, 8:00:00 AM	0.5%
8/7/2026, 7:00:00 AM	0.9%
8/7/2026, 6:00:00 AM	1.2%
8/7/2026, 5:00:00 AM	1.9%
8/7/2026, 4:30:00 AM	1.8%
8/7/2026, 4:00:00 AM	2.8%
8/7/2026, 3:00:00 AM	3.9%
8/7/2026, 2:00:00 AM	5.0%
8/7/2026, 1:00:00 AM	5.3%
8/7/2026, 12:00:00 AM	4.5%
8/6/2026, 11:00:00 PM	2.4%
8/6/2026, 10:00:00 PM	3.1%
8/6/2026, 9:00:00 PM	3.1%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$153.8K

Volume vs Baseline

6.3x baseline

Liquidity

$50.5K

Market Significance

High (80)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 7, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 54/100.

Probability Momentum 27

Volume Activity 100

Liquidity Quality 90

Persistence 20

Data Confidence High (80)

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