Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?

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Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-0.1 pp

Signal Score

40/100

Data Confidence

High (80)

24h probability fell 0.1pp; volume is 4.6x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-07 09:37 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability fell 0.1pp
24h volume is 4.6x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $48,805

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-0.1 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

145 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 7, 09:30 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/7/2026, 9:30:00 AM	0.1%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/7/2026, 8:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/7/2026, 7:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/7/2026, 6:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/7/2026, 5:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/7/2026, 4:30:00 AM	0.1%
8/7/2026, 4:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/7/2026, 3:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/7/2026, 2:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/7/2026, 1:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/7/2026, 12:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/6/2026, 11:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/6/2026, 10:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/6/2026, 9:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/6/2026, 8:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/6/2026, 7:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/6/2026, 6:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/6/2026, 5:00:00 PM	0.3%
8/6/2026, 4:00:00 PM	0.3%
8/6/2026, 3:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/6/2026, 2:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/6/2026, 1:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/6/2026, 12:00:00 PM	0.1%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$78.5K

Volume vs Baseline

4.6x baseline

Liquidity

$48.8K

Market Significance

High (71)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 7, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 40/100.

Probability Momentum 0

Volume Activity 94

Liquidity Quality 86

Persistence 20

Data Confidence High (80)

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