Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or below on July 30?

Highest temperature in Paris on July 30?

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Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-0.3 pp

Signal Score

16/100

Data Confidence

Medium (59)

24h probability fell 0.2pp

Market data

Updated 4 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-07-30 13:18 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $19,742
Medium data confidence (59)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-0.3 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

2d of stored history

44 stored snapshots · Latest sample Jul 30, 01:15 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
7/30/2026, 1:15:00 PM	0.1%
7/30/2026, 1:00:00 PM	0.1%
7/30/2026, 12:00:00 PM	0.1%
7/30/2026, 11:00:00 AM	0.1%
7/30/2026, 10:00:00 AM	0.1%
7/30/2026, 9:00:00 AM	0.1%
7/30/2026, 8:00:00 AM	0.1%
7/30/2026, 7:00:00 AM	0.1%
7/30/2026, 6:00:00 AM	0.1%
7/30/2026, 5:00:00 AM	0.1%
7/30/2026, 4:00:00 AM	0.1%
7/30/2026, 3:00:00 AM	0.1%
7/30/2026, 2:00:00 AM	0.1%
7/30/2026, 1:00:00 AM	0.1%
7/30/2026, 12:00:00 AM	0.1%
7/29/2026, 11:00:00 PM	0.1%
7/29/2026, 10:00:00 PM	0.5%
7/29/2026, 9:00:00 PM	0.3%
7/29/2026, 8:00:00 PM	0.3%
7/29/2026, 7:00:00 PM	0.3%
7/29/2026, 5:00:00 PM	0.4%
7/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM	0.3%
7/29/2026, 1:00:00 PM	0.3%
7/29/2026, 12:00:00 PM	0.3%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$46.6K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$19.7K

Market Significance

High (75)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Jul 30, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 16/100.

Probability Momentum 1

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 81

Persistence 20

Data Confidence Medium (59)

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