Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners

Open · Resolves in 5 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

40.5%

24h Change

Unchanged

Signal Score

17/100

Data Confidence

High (71)

24h probability fell 0.0pp

Market data

Updated 2 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-01 20:14 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $203,360
  • High data confidence (71)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 40.5% · Aug 1, 08:00 PM

39% 42% 41% Jul 31 Aug 1 Aug 1 Aug 1 Current 40.5% · 4d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

40.5%

24h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

4d of stored history

90 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 1, 08:00 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/1/2026, 8:00:00 PM 40.5%
8/1/2026, 7:00:00 PM 39.5%
8/1/2026, 6:00:00 PM 39.5%
8/1/2026, 5:00:00 PM 39.5%
8/1/2026, 4:00:00 PM 39.5%
8/1/2026, 3:00:00 PM 39.5%
8/1/2026, 2:00:00 PM 39.5%
8/1/2026, 1:00:00 PM 39.5%
8/1/2026, 12:00:00 PM 39.5%
8/1/2026, 11:00:00 AM 40.5%
8/1/2026, 10:00:00 AM 40.5%
8/1/2026, 9:00:00 AM 40.5%
8/1/2026, 8:00:00 AM 40.5%
8/1/2026, 7:00:00 AM 39.5%
8/1/2026, 6:00:00 AM 39.5%
8/1/2026, 5:00:00 AM 39.5%
8/1/2026, 4:00:00 AM 39.5%
8/1/2026, 3:00:00 AM 39.5%
8/1/2026, 2:00:00 AM 39.5%
8/1/2026, 1:00:00 AM 39.5%
8/1/2026, 12:00:00 AM 39.5%
7/31/2026, 11:00:00 PM 39.5%
7/31/2026, 10:00:00 PM 40.5%
7/31/2026, 9:00:00 PM 40.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+1.0 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$158.4K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$203.4K

Market Significance

High (75)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 5 days

End Date

Aug 8, 2026

Attention Score

18

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 17/100.

Probability Momentum 0
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 92
Persistence 20
Data Confidence High (71)

Next Steps

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