Chicago White Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays

Open · Resolves in 5 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

38.5%

24h Change

-0.5 pp

Signal Score

25/100

Data Confidence

High (76)

24h probability fell 0.5pp

Market data

Updated 2 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-01 20:14 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $148,684
  • High data confidence (76)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 38.5% · Aug 1, 08:00 PM

38% 41% 40% Jul 31 Aug 1 Aug 1 Aug 1 Current 38.5% · 4d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

38.5%

24h Change

-0.5 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

4d of stored history

90 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 1, 08:00 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/1/2026, 8:00:00 PM 38.5%
8/1/2026, 7:00:00 PM 39.5%
8/1/2026, 6:00:00 PM 39.5%
8/1/2026, 5:00:00 PM 38.5%
8/1/2026, 4:00:00 PM 39.5%
8/1/2026, 3:00:00 PM 39.5%
8/1/2026, 2:00:00 PM 39.5%
8/1/2026, 1:00:00 PM 39.5%
8/1/2026, 12:00:00 PM 39.5%
8/1/2026, 11:00:00 AM 39.5%
8/1/2026, 10:00:00 AM 39.5%
8/1/2026, 9:00:00 AM 39.5%
8/1/2026, 8:00:00 AM 39.5%
8/1/2026, 7:00:00 AM 39.5%
8/1/2026, 6:00:00 AM 39.5%
8/1/2026, 5:00:00 AM 39.5%
8/1/2026, 4:00:00 AM 39.5%
8/1/2026, 3:00:00 AM 39.5%
8/1/2026, 2:00:00 AM 39.5%
8/1/2026, 1:00:00 AM 39.5%
8/1/2026, 12:00:00 AM 39.5%
7/31/2026, 11:00:00 PM 39.5%
7/31/2026, 10:00:00 PM 39.5%
7/31/2026, 9:00:00 PM 39.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-1.0 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$144.3K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$148.7K

Market Significance

High (74)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 5 days

End Date

Aug 8, 2026

Attention Score

19

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 25/100.

Probability Momentum 2
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 92
Persistence 70
Data Confidence High (76)

Next Steps

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