Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Open · Resolves in 5 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

39.5%

24h Change

-1.0 pp

Signal Score

18/100

Data Confidence

High (70)

24h probability fell 1.0pp

Market data

Updated 2 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-01 20:14 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $461,685
  • High data confidence (70)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 39.5% · Aug 1, 08:00 PM

39% 42% 41% Jul 31 Aug 1 Aug 1 Aug 1 Current 39.5% · 4d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

39.5%

24h Change

-1.0 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

4d of stored history

81 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 1, 08:00 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/1/2026, 8:00:00 PM 39.5%
8/1/2026, 7:00:00 PM 39.5%
8/1/2026, 6:00:00 PM 39.5%
8/1/2026, 5:00:00 PM 39.5%
8/1/2026, 4:00:00 PM 39.5%
8/1/2026, 3:00:00 PM 39.5%
8/1/2026, 2:00:00 PM 40.5%
8/1/2026, 1:00:00 PM 40.5%
8/1/2026, 12:00:00 PM 40.5%
8/1/2026, 11:00:00 AM 40.5%
8/1/2026, 10:00:00 AM 40.5%
8/1/2026, 9:00:00 AM 40.5%
8/1/2026, 8:00:00 AM 40.5%
8/1/2026, 7:00:00 AM 40.5%
8/1/2026, 6:00:00 AM 40.5%
8/1/2026, 5:00:00 AM 40.5%
8/1/2026, 4:00:00 AM 40.5%
8/1/2026, 3:00:00 AM 40.5%
8/1/2026, 2:00:00 AM 39.5%
8/1/2026, 1:00:00 AM 40.5%
8/1/2026, 12:00:00 AM 40.5%
7/31/2026, 11:00:00 PM 40.5%
7/31/2026, 10:00:00 PM 40.5%
7/31/2026, 9:00:00 PM 40.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$98.1K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$461.7K

Market Significance

High (73)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 5 days

End Date

Aug 9, 2026

Attention Score

19

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 18/100.

Probability Momentum 3
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 90
Persistence 20
Data Confidence High (70)

Next Steps

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