Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds

Open · Resolves in 6 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

0.3%

24h Change

-43.2 pp

Signal Score

66/100

Data Confidence

High (74)

24h probability fell 43.2pp

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-02 20:16 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $173,854
High data confidence (74)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

0.3%

24h Change

-43.2 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

5d of stored history

117 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 2, 08:15 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/2/2026, 8:15:00 PM	0.3%
8/2/2026, 8:00:00 PM	0.7%
8/2/2026, 7:00:00 PM	4.7%
8/2/2026, 6:00:00 PM	16.5%
8/2/2026, 5:00:00 PM	44.5%
8/2/2026, 4:00:00 PM	44.5%
8/2/2026, 3:45:00 PM	44.5%
8/2/2026, 3:00:00 PM	43.5%
8/2/2026, 2:00:00 PM	41.5%
8/2/2026, 1:00:00 PM	41.5%
8/2/2026, 12:00:00 PM	41.5%
8/2/2026, 11:00:00 AM	41.5%
8/2/2026, 10:00:00 AM	41.5%
8/2/2026, 9:00:00 AM	41.5%
8/2/2026, 8:00:00 AM	41.5%
8/2/2026, 7:00:00 AM	42.5%
8/2/2026, 6:00:00 AM	42.5%
8/2/2026, 5:00:00 AM	42.5%
8/2/2026, 4:00:00 AM	42.5%
8/2/2026, 3:00:00 AM	42.5%
8/2/2026, 2:00:00 AM	42.5%
8/2/2026, 1:00:00 AM	42.5%
8/2/2026, 12:00:00 AM	42.5%
8/1/2026, 11:00:00 PM	42.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-4.4 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$315.5K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$173.9K

Market Significance

High (76)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 6 days

End Date

Aug 9, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 66/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 95

Persistence 46

Data Confidence High (74)

Next Steps

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