Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardians

Open · Resolves in 6 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

4.5%

24h Change

-40.0 pp

Signal Score

61/100

Data Confidence

High (70)

24h probability fell 40.0pp

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-02 20:16 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $143,915
High data confidence (70)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

4.5%

24h Change

-40.0 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

5d of stored history

106 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 2, 08:15 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/2/2026, 8:15:00 PM	4.5%
8/2/2026, 8:00:00 PM	4.5%
8/2/2026, 7:00:00 PM	4.5%
8/2/2026, 6:00:00 PM	33.5%
8/2/2026, 5:00:00 PM	38.5%
8/2/2026, 4:00:00 PM	37.5%
8/2/2026, 3:45:00 PM	37.5%
8/2/2026, 3:00:00 PM	38.0%
8/2/2026, 2:00:00 PM	38.5%
8/2/2026, 1:00:00 PM	40.5%
8/2/2026, 12:00:00 PM	41.5%
8/2/2026, 11:00:00 AM	41.5%
8/2/2026, 10:00:00 AM	41.5%
8/2/2026, 9:00:00 AM	41.5%
8/2/2026, 8:00:00 AM	41.5%
8/2/2026, 7:00:00 AM	41.5%
8/2/2026, 6:00:00 AM	41.5%
8/2/2026, 5:00:00 AM	42.5%
8/2/2026, 4:00:00 AM	43.5%
8/2/2026, 3:00:00 AM	43.5%
8/2/2026, 2:00:00 AM	43.5%
8/2/2026, 1:00:00 AM	43.5%
8/2/2026, 12:00:00 AM	43.5%
8/1/2026, 11:00:00 PM	44.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+0.1 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$333.3K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$143.9K

Market Significance

High (77)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 6 days

End Date

Aug 9, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 61/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 95

Persistence 10

Data Confidence High (70)

Next Steps

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