Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets

Open · Resolves in 6 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

90.5%

24h Change

+41.0 pp

Signal Score

72/100

Data Confidence

High (78)

24h probability rose 41.0pp

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-02 20:16 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $139,567
High data confidence (78)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

90.5%

24h Change

+41.0 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

5d of stored history

127 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 2, 08:15 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/2/2026, 8:15:00 PM	90.5%
8/2/2026, 8:00:00 PM	85.5%
8/2/2026, 7:00:00 PM	61.5%
8/2/2026, 6:00:00 PM	46.5%
8/2/2026, 5:00:00 PM	51.5%
8/2/2026, 4:00:00 PM	51.5%
8/2/2026, 3:00:00 PM	52.5%
8/2/2026, 2:00:00 PM	52.5%
8/2/2026, 1:00:00 PM	52.5%
8/2/2026, 12:00:00 PM	52.5%
8/2/2026, 11:00:00 AM	52.5%
8/2/2026, 10:00:00 AM	52.5%
8/2/2026, 9:00:00 AM	52.5%
8/2/2026, 8:00:00 AM	52.5%
8/2/2026, 7:00:00 AM	52.5%
8/2/2026, 6:00:00 AM	52.5%
8/2/2026, 5:00:00 AM	52.5%
8/2/2026, 4:00:00 AM	51.5%
8/2/2026, 3:00:00 AM	51.5%
8/2/2026, 2:00:00 AM	51.5%
8/2/2026, 1:00:00 AM	51.5%
8/2/2026, 12:00:00 AM	51.5%
8/1/2026, 11:00:00 PM	51.5%
8/1/2026, 10:00:00 PM	51.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+29.0 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$383.9K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$139.6K

Market Significance

High (77)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 6 days

End Date

Aug 9, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 72/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 96

Persistence 82

Data Confidence High (78)

Next Steps

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