Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros

Open · Resolves in 6 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

43.5%

24h Change

-5.0 pp

Signal Score

23/100

Data Confidence

High (70)

24h probability fell 5.0pp

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-02 20:16 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $274,825
  • High data confidence (70)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 43.5% · Aug 2, 08:15 PM

21% 36% 50% Aug 1 Aug 2 Aug 2 Aug 2 Current 43.5% · 5d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

43.5%

24h Change

-5.0 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

5d of stored history

106 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 2, 08:15 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/2/2026, 8:15:00 PM 43.5%
8/2/2026, 8:00:00 PM 23.5%
8/2/2026, 7:00:00 PM 28.5%
8/2/2026, 6:00:00 PM 44.5%
8/2/2026, 5:00:00 PM 45.5%
8/2/2026, 4:00:00 PM 44.5%
8/2/2026, 3:00:00 PM 44.5%
8/2/2026, 2:00:00 PM 44.5%
8/2/2026, 1:00:00 PM 45.5%
8/2/2026, 12:00:00 PM 45.5%
8/2/2026, 11:00:00 AM 45.5%
8/2/2026, 10:00:00 AM 45.5%
8/2/2026, 9:00:00 AM 45.5%
8/2/2026, 8:00:00 AM 45.5%
8/2/2026, 7:00:00 AM 46.5%
8/2/2026, 6:00:00 AM 46.5%
8/2/2026, 5:00:00 AM 46.5%
8/2/2026, 4:00:00 AM 46.5%
8/2/2026, 3:00:00 AM 46.5%
8/2/2026, 2:00:00 AM 47.5%
8/2/2026, 1:00:00 AM 47.5%
8/2/2026, 12:00:00 AM 47.5%
8/1/2026, 11:00:00 PM 47.5%
8/1/2026, 10:00:00 PM 47.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+15.0 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$417.6K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$274.8K

Market Significance

High (77)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 6 days

End Date

Aug 9, 2026

Attention Score

24

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 23/100.

Probability Momentum 17
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 96
Persistence 10
Data Confidence High (70)

Next Steps

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