New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs

Open · Resolves in 6 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

75.5%

24h Change

+23.0 pp

Signal Score

52/100

Data Confidence

High (71)

24h probability rose 23.0pp

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-02 20:16 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $229,242
  • High data confidence (71)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 75.5% · Aug 2, 08:15 PM

50% 64% 78% Aug 1 Aug 2 Aug 2 Aug 2 Current 75.5% · 5d of stored history · 26 pts

Current

75.5%

24h Change

+23.0 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

5d of stored history

129 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 2, 08:15 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/2/2026, 8:15:00 PM 75.5%
8/2/2026, 8:00:00 PM 60.5%
8/2/2026, 7:00:00 PM 75.5%
8/2/2026, 6:00:00 PM 52.5%
8/2/2026, 5:00:00 PM 52.5%
8/2/2026, 4:00:00 PM 52.5%
8/2/2026, 3:45:00 PM 52.5%
8/2/2026, 3:00:00 PM 53.5%
8/2/2026, 2:00:00 PM 54.5%
8/2/2026, 1:00:00 PM 55.5%
8/2/2026, 12:00:00 PM 55.5%
8/2/2026, 11:00:00 AM 55.5%
8/2/2026, 10:00:00 AM 55.5%
8/2/2026, 9:00:00 AM 55.5%
8/2/2026, 8:00:00 AM 55.5%
8/2/2026, 7:00:00 AM 54.5%
8/2/2026, 6:00:00 AM 54.5%
8/2/2026, 5:00:00 AM 54.5%
8/2/2026, 4:00:00 AM 54.5%
8/2/2026, 3:00:00 AM 54.5%
8/2/2026, 2:00:00 AM 54.5%
8/2/2026, 1:00:00 AM 54.5%
8/2/2026, 12:00:00 AM 54.5%
8/1/2026, 11:00:00 PM 54.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$243.2K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$229.2K

Market Significance

High (76)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 6 days

End Date

Aug 9, 2026

Attention Score

42

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 52/100.

Probability Momentum 77
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 94
Persistence 20
Data Confidence High (71)

Next Steps

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