Kansas City Royals vs. Colorado Rockies

Open · Resolves in 6 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

41.5%

24h Change

-8.0 pp

Signal Score

36/100

Data Confidence

High (76)

24h probability fell 8.0pp

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-02 20:16 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $226,986
High data confidence (76)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

41.5%

24h Change

-8.0 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

5d of stored history

128 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 2, 08:15 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/2/2026, 8:15:00 PM	41.5%
8/2/2026, 8:00:00 PM	44.5%
8/2/2026, 7:00:00 PM	45.5%
8/2/2026, 6:00:00 PM	45.5%
8/2/2026, 5:00:00 PM	45.5%
8/2/2026, 4:00:00 PM	45.5%
8/2/2026, 3:00:00 PM	45.5%
8/2/2026, 2:00:00 PM	45.5%
8/2/2026, 1:00:00 PM	47.5%
8/2/2026, 12:00:00 PM	48.5%
8/2/2026, 11:00:00 AM	48.5%
8/2/2026, 10:00:00 AM	48.5%
8/2/2026, 9:00:00 AM	48.5%
8/2/2026, 8:00:00 AM	48.5%
8/2/2026, 7:00:00 AM	48.5%
8/2/2026, 6:00:00 AM	48.5%
8/2/2026, 5:00:00 AM	48.5%
8/2/2026, 4:00:00 AM	49.5%
8/2/2026, 3:00:00 AM	49.5%
8/2/2026, 2:00:00 AM	49.5%
8/2/2026, 1:00:00 AM	49.5%
8/2/2026, 12:00:00 AM	49.5%
8/1/2026, 11:00:00 PM	49.5%
8/1/2026, 10:00:00 PM	49.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-4.0 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$140.8K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$227.0K

Market Significance

High (74)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 6 days

End Date

Aug 9, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 36/100.

Probability Momentum 27

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 91

Persistence 70

Data Confidence High (76)

Next Steps

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