Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

80.5%

24h Change

+38.5 pp

Signal Score

74/100

Data Confidence

High (79)

24h probability rose 38.5pp

Market data

Updated 11 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-03 23:54 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $214,109
High data confidence (79)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

80.5%

24h Change

+38.5 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

6d of stored history

155 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 3, 11:45 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/3/2026, 11:45:00 PM	80.5%
8/3/2026, 11:00:00 PM	52.5%
8/3/2026, 10:00:00 PM	41.5%
8/3/2026, 9:00:00 PM	41.5%
8/3/2026, 8:00:00 PM	41.5%
8/3/2026, 7:00:00 PM	40.5%
8/3/2026, 6:00:00 PM	40.5%
8/3/2026, 5:00:00 PM	40.5%
8/3/2026, 4:00:00 PM	40.5%
8/3/2026, 3:00:00 PM	40.5%
8/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM	39.5%
8/3/2026, 1:00:00 PM	41.5%
8/3/2026, 12:00:00 PM	40.5%
8/3/2026, 11:00:00 AM	40.5%
8/3/2026, 10:00:00 AM	41.5%
8/3/2026, 9:00:00 AM	41.5%
8/3/2026, 8:00:00 AM	41.5%
8/3/2026, 7:00:00 AM	41.5%
8/3/2026, 6:00:00 AM	41.5%
8/3/2026, 5:00:00 AM	41.5%
8/3/2026, 4:00:00 AM	41.5%
8/3/2026, 3:00:00 AM	41.5%
8/3/2026, 2:00:00 AM	41.5%
8/3/2026, 1:00:00 AM	41.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+39.0 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$210.9K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$214.1K

Market Significance

High (75)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 10, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 74/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 93

Persistence 99

Data Confidence High (79)

Next Steps

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