St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

65.5%

24h Change

+29.0 pp

Signal Score

72/100

Data Confidence

High (79)

24h probability rose 29.0pp

Market data

Updated 11 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-03 23:54 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $218,427
  • High data confidence (79)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 65.5% · Aug 3, 11:45 PM

28% 49% 69% Aug 3 Aug 3 Aug 3 Aug 3 Current 65.5% · 6d of stored history · 26 pts

Current

65.5%

24h Change

+29.0 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

6d of stored history

143 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 3, 11:45 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/3/2026, 11:45:00 PM 65.5%
8/3/2026, 11:00:00 PM 31.5%
8/3/2026, 10:00:00 PM 32.5%
8/3/2026, 9:00:00 PM 32.5%
8/3/2026, 8:00:00 PM 33.5%
8/3/2026, 7:00:00 PM 33.5%
8/3/2026, 6:15:00 PM 33.5%
8/3/2026, 6:00:00 PM 33.5%
8/3/2026, 5:00:00 PM 33.5%
8/3/2026, 4:00:00 PM 33.5%
8/3/2026, 3:00:00 PM 33.5%
8/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM 33.5%
8/3/2026, 1:00:00 PM 33.5%
8/3/2026, 12:00:00 PM 33.5%
8/3/2026, 11:00:00 AM 34.5%
8/3/2026, 10:00:00 AM 35.5%
8/3/2026, 9:00:00 AM 35.5%
8/3/2026, 8:00:00 AM 35.5%
8/3/2026, 7:00:00 AM 35.5%
8/3/2026, 6:00:00 AM 35.5%
8/3/2026, 5:00:00 AM 35.5%
8/3/2026, 4:00:00 AM 36.5%
8/3/2026, 3:00:00 AM 36.5%
8/3/2026, 2:00:00 AM 36.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+33.0 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$494.4K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$218.4K

Market Significance

High (78)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 10, 2026

Attention Score

48

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 72/100.

Probability Momentum 97
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 97
Persistence 93
Data Confidence High (79)

Next Steps

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