Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

37.5%

24h Change

-5.5 pp

Signal Score

36/100

Data Confidence

High (78)

24h probability fell 5.5pp

Market data

Updated 11 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-03 23:54 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $184,425
  • High data confidence (78)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 37.5% · Aug 3, 11:45 PM

37% 40% 44% Aug 3 Aug 3 Aug 3 Aug 3 Current 37.5% · 6d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

37.5%

24h Change

-5.5 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

6d of stored history

141 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 3, 11:45 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/3/2026, 11:45:00 PM 37.5%
8/3/2026, 11:00:00 PM 42.5%
8/3/2026, 10:00:00 PM 42.5%
8/3/2026, 9:00:00 PM 42.5%
8/3/2026, 8:00:00 PM 42.5%
8/3/2026, 7:00:00 PM 42.5%
8/3/2026, 6:00:00 PM 42.5%
8/3/2026, 5:00:00 PM 42.5%
8/3/2026, 4:00:00 PM 42.5%
8/3/2026, 3:00:00 PM 42.5%
8/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM 42.5%
8/3/2026, 1:00:00 PM 42.5%
8/3/2026, 12:00:00 PM 42.5%
8/3/2026, 11:00:00 AM 42.5%
8/3/2026, 10:00:00 AM 42.5%
8/3/2026, 9:00:00 AM 42.5%
8/3/2026, 8:00:00 AM 42.5%
8/3/2026, 7:00:00 AM 42.5%
8/3/2026, 6:00:00 AM 42.5%
8/3/2026, 5:00:00 AM 42.5%
8/3/2026, 4:00:00 AM 42.5%
8/3/2026, 3:00:00 AM 43.0%
8/3/2026, 2:00:00 AM 43.0%
8/3/2026, 1:00:00 AM 43.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-5.0 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$89.9K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$184.4K

Market Significance

High (73)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 10, 2026

Attention Score

23

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 36/100.

Probability Momentum 18
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 90
Persistence 95
Data Confidence High (78)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.