Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

53.5%

24h Change

-1.0 pp

Signal Score

19/100

Data Confidence

High (71)

24h probability fell 1.0pp

Market data

Updated 11 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-03 23:54 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $1,041,362
  • High data confidence (71)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 53.5% · Aug 3, 11:45 PM

52% 55% 56% Aug 3 Aug 3 Aug 3 Aug 3 Current 53.5% · 6d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

53.5%

24h Change

-1.0 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

6d of stored history

154 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 3, 11:45 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/3/2026, 11:45:00 PM 53.5%
8/3/2026, 11:00:00 PM 54.5%
8/3/2026, 10:00:00 PM 53.5%
8/3/2026, 9:00:00 PM 53.5%
8/3/2026, 8:00:00 PM 53.5%
8/3/2026, 7:00:00 PM 52.5%
8/3/2026, 6:00:00 PM 53.5%
8/3/2026, 5:00:00 PM 53.5%
8/3/2026, 4:00:00 PM 53.5%
8/3/2026, 3:00:00 PM 53.5%
8/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM 53.5%
8/3/2026, 1:00:00 PM 53.5%
8/3/2026, 12:00:00 PM 54.5%
8/3/2026, 11:00:00 AM 53.5%
8/3/2026, 10:00:00 AM 53.5%
8/3/2026, 9:00:00 AM 53.5%
8/3/2026, 8:00:00 AM 54.5%
8/3/2026, 7:00:00 AM 54.5%
8/3/2026, 6:00:00 AM 55.5%
8/3/2026, 5:00:00 AM 55.5%
8/3/2026, 4:00:00 AM 55.5%
8/3/2026, 3:00:00 AM 55.5%
8/3/2026, 2:00:00 AM 54.5%
8/3/2026, 1:00:00 AM 55.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$272.9K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$1.0M

Market Significance

High (76)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 11, 2026

Attention Score

20

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 19/100.

Probability Momentum 3
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 94
Persistence 20
Data Confidence High (71)

Next Steps

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