San Francisco Giants vs. Texas Rangers

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

45.5%

24h Change

-3.0 pp

Signal Score

27/100

Data Confidence

High (75)

24h probability fell 3.0pp

Market data

Updated 12 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-03 23:54 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $742,195
  • High data confidence (75)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 45.5% · Aug 3, 11:45 PM

45% 48% 50% Aug 3 Aug 3 Aug 3 Aug 3 Current 45.5% · 6d of stored history · 26 pts

Current

45.5%

24h Change

-3.0 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

6d of stored history

155 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 3, 11:45 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/3/2026, 11:45:00 PM 45.5%
8/3/2026, 11:00:00 PM 46.5%
8/3/2026, 10:00:00 PM 46.5%
8/3/2026, 9:00:00 PM 46.5%
8/3/2026, 8:00:00 PM 46.5%
8/3/2026, 7:00:00 PM 46.5%
8/3/2026, 6:15:00 PM 46.5%
8/3/2026, 6:00:00 PM 46.5%
8/3/2026, 5:00:00 PM 46.5%
8/3/2026, 4:00:00 PM 46.5%
8/3/2026, 3:00:00 PM 47.5%
8/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM 46.5%
8/3/2026, 1:00:00 PM 49.5%
8/3/2026, 12:00:00 PM 49.5%
8/3/2026, 11:00:00 AM 49.5%
8/3/2026, 10:00:00 AM 49.5%
8/3/2026, 9:00:00 AM 49.5%
8/3/2026, 8:00:00 AM 49.5%
8/3/2026, 7:00:00 AM 49.5%
8/3/2026, 6:00:00 AM 48.5%
8/3/2026, 5:00:00 AM 48.5%
8/3/2026, 4:00:00 AM 48.5%
8/3/2026, 3:00:00 AM 49.5%
8/3/2026, 2:00:00 AM 48.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-1.0 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$178.2K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$742.2K

Market Significance

High (75)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 11, 2026

Attention Score

22

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 27/100.

Probability Momentum 10
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 93
Persistence 60
Data Confidence High (75)

Next Steps

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