Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

42.5%

24h Change

-3.0 pp

Signal Score

34/100

Data Confidence

High (79)

24h probability fell 3.0pp

Market data

Updated 11 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-03 23:54 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $826,074
High data confidence (79)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

42.5%

24h Change

-3.0 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

6d of stored history

155 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 3, 11:45 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/3/2026, 11:45:00 PM	42.5%
8/3/2026, 11:00:00 PM	43.5%
8/3/2026, 10:00:00 PM	45.5%
8/3/2026, 9:00:00 PM	45.5%
8/3/2026, 8:00:00 PM	45.5%
8/3/2026, 7:00:00 PM	45.5%
8/3/2026, 6:00:00 PM	45.5%
8/3/2026, 5:00:00 PM	45.5%
8/3/2026, 4:00:00 PM	45.5%
8/3/2026, 3:00:00 PM	45.5%
8/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM	44.5%
8/3/2026, 1:00:00 PM	44.5%
8/3/2026, 12:00:00 PM	44.5%
8/3/2026, 11:00:00 AM	44.5%
8/3/2026, 10:00:00 AM	44.5%
8/3/2026, 9:00:00 AM	44.5%
8/3/2026, 8:00:00 AM	44.5%
8/3/2026, 7:00:00 AM	44.5%
8/3/2026, 6:00:00 AM	44.5%
8/3/2026, 5:00:00 AM	44.5%
8/3/2026, 4:00:00 AM	44.5%
8/3/2026, 3:00:00 AM	44.5%
8/3/2026, 2:00:00 AM	44.5%
8/3/2026, 1:00:00 AM	45.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-3.0 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$320.5K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$826.1K

Market Significance

High (76)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 11, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 34/100.

Probability Momentum 10

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 95

Persistence 100

Data Confidence High (79)

Next Steps

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