San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

48.5%

24h Change

-3.0 pp

Signal Score

21/100

Data Confidence

High (71)

24h probability fell 3.0pp

Market data

Updated 11 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-03 23:54 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $696,150
High data confidence (71)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

48.5%

24h Change

-3.0 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

6d of stored history

156 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 3, 11:45 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/3/2026, 11:45:00 PM	48.5%
8/3/2026, 11:00:00 PM	48.5%
8/3/2026, 10:00:00 PM	48.5%
8/3/2026, 9:00:00 PM	48.5%
8/3/2026, 8:00:00 PM	48.5%
8/3/2026, 7:00:00 PM	48.5%
8/3/2026, 6:15:00 PM	48.5%
8/3/2026, 6:00:00 PM	48.5%
8/3/2026, 5:00:00 PM	48.5%
8/3/2026, 4:00:00 PM	48.5%
8/3/2026, 3:00:00 PM	47.5%
8/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM	48.5%
8/3/2026, 1:00:00 PM	48.5%
8/3/2026, 12:00:00 PM	48.5%
8/3/2026, 11:00:00 AM	48.5%
8/3/2026, 10:00:00 AM	48.5%
8/3/2026, 9:00:00 AM	48.5%
8/3/2026, 8:00:00 AM	48.5%
8/3/2026, 7:00:00 AM	48.5%
8/3/2026, 6:00:00 AM	48.5%
8/3/2026, 5:00:00 AM	49.5%
8/3/2026, 4:00:00 AM	49.5%
8/3/2026, 3:00:00 AM	50.0%
8/3/2026, 2:00:00 AM	51.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$150.6K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$696.2K

Market Significance

High (74)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 11, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 21/100.

Probability Momentum 10

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 92

Persistence 20

Data Confidence High (71)

Next Steps

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