Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-08-08?

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Current Probability

5.5%

24h Change

-1.0 pp

Signal Score

43/100

Data Confidence

High (80)

24h probability fell 1.0pp; volume is 986.5x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 1 hour ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-08 18:43 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability fell 1.0pp
  • 24h volume is 986.5x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $75,864

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 5.5% · Aug 8, 06:30 PM

5% 7% 7% Aug 7 Aug 8 Aug 8 Aug 8 Current 5.5% · 7d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

5.5%

24h Change

-1.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

167 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 8, 06:30 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/8/2026, 6:30:00 PM 5.5%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM 5.0%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 PM 5.5%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 PM 5.5%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 PM 6.5%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 PM 6.5%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 PM 6.5%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 PM 6.5%
8/8/2026, 11:00:00 AM 6.5%
8/8/2026, 10:00:00 AM 6.5%
8/8/2026, 9:00:00 AM 6.5%
8/8/2026, 8:00:00 AM 6.5%
8/8/2026, 7:00:00 AM 6.5%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 AM 6.5%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 AM 6.5%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 AM 6.5%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 AM 6.5%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 AM 6.5%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 AM 6.5%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 AM 6.5%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 PM 6.5%
8/7/2026, 10:00:00 PM 6.5%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 PM 6.5%
8/7/2026, 8:00:00 PM 6.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$103.7K

Volume vs Baseline

986.5x baseline

Liquidity

$75.9K

Market Significance

High (80)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 8, 2026

Attention Score

69

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 43/100.

Probability Momentum 3
Volume Activity 100
Liquidity Quality 89
Persistence 20
Data Confidence High (80)

Next Steps

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