Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 4?
Current Probability
16.5%
24h Change
Unchanged
Signal Score
16/100
Data Confidence
Medium (70)
Signal passed quality checks
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h probability was effectively unchanged
- Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
- Liquidity depth $23,700
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.
Browse other marketsCurrent
16.5%
24h Change
Unchanged
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
7d of stored history
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
-5.0 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$75.8K
Volume vs Baseline
Baseline unavailable
Liquidity
$23.7K
Market Significance
Moderate (69)
Market Status
Closed
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Attention Score
17
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 16/100.