Bonn: Henri Squire vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida

Open · Resolves in 1 day View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

31.5%

24h Change

-13.5 pp

Signal Score

35/100

Data Confidence

Medium (59)

24h probability fell 13.5pp

Market data

Updated 6 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-07-30 13:18 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $214,039
Medium data confidence (59)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

31.5%

24h Change

-13.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

2d of stored history

24 stored snapshots · Latest sample Jul 30, 01:15 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
7/30/2026, 1:15:00 PM	31.5%
7/30/2026, 1:00:00 PM	25.0%
7/30/2026, 12:00:00 PM	11.5%
7/30/2026, 11:00:00 AM	34.5%
7/30/2026, 10:00:00 AM	45.5%
7/30/2026, 9:00:00 AM	45.5%
7/30/2026, 8:00:00 AM	46.5%
7/30/2026, 7:00:00 AM	47.5%
7/30/2026, 6:00:00 AM	46.5%
7/30/2026, 5:00:00 AM	45.5%
7/30/2026, 4:00:00 AM	45.0%
7/30/2026, 3:00:00 AM	45.0%
7/30/2026, 2:00:00 AM	45.5%
7/30/2026, 1:00:00 AM	44.5%
7/30/2026, 12:00:00 AM	43.5%
7/29/2026, 11:00:00 PM	43.5%
7/29/2026, 10:00:00 PM	43.0%
7/29/2026, 9:00:00 PM	43.0%
7/29/2026, 8:00:00 PM	43.0%
7/29/2026, 7:00:00 PM	44.0%
7/29/2026, 6:00:00 PM	44.0%
7/29/2026, 5:00:00 PM	44.0%
7/29/2026, 4:00:00 PM	45.5%
7/29/2026, 3:00:00 PM	44.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+20.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$87.5K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$214.0K

Market Significance

High (73)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 1 day

End Date

Aug 6, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 35/100.

Probability Momentum 45

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 89

Persistence 10

Data Confidence Medium (59)

Next Steps

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