Bitcoin Up or Down on July 30?

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Current Probability

93.5%

24h Change

+41.0 pp

Signal Score

65/100

Data Confidence

Medium (62)

24h probability rose 41.0pp

Market data

Updated 4 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-07-30 13:18 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $26,470
Medium data confidence (62)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

93.5%

24h Change

+41.0 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

2d of stored history

28 stored snapshots · Latest sample Jul 30, 01:15 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
7/30/2026, 1:15:00 PM	93.5%
7/30/2026, 1:00:00 PM	94.5%
7/30/2026, 12:00:00 PM	91.5%
7/30/2026, 11:00:00 AM	87.5%
7/30/2026, 10:00:00 AM	86.0%
7/30/2026, 9:00:00 AM	72.5%
7/30/2026, 8:00:00 AM	52.5%
7/30/2026, 7:30:00 AM	51.5%
7/30/2026, 7:00:00 AM	51.5%
7/30/2026, 6:00:00 AM	53.5%
7/30/2026, 5:00:00 AM	54.5%
7/30/2026, 4:00:00 AM	62.5%
7/30/2026, 3:00:00 AM	60.5%
7/30/2026, 2:00:00 AM	62.5%
7/30/2026, 1:00:00 AM	39.5%
7/30/2026, 12:00:00 AM	51.0%
7/29/2026, 11:00:00 PM	49.5%
7/29/2026, 10:00:00 PM	44.5%
7/29/2026, 9:00:00 PM	35.5%
7/29/2026, 8:00:00 PM	39.5%
7/29/2026, 7:00:00 PM	67.5%
7/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM	52.5%
7/29/2026, 1:00:00 PM	52.5%
7/29/2026, 10:00:00 AM	52.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+2.0 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$152.9K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$26.5K

Market Significance

High (71)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Jul 30, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 65/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 87

Persistence 43

Data Confidence Medium (62)

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