Ethereum Up or Down on July 30?

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Current Probability

94.5%

24h Change

+44.5 pp

Signal Score

64/100

Data Confidence

Medium (61)

24h probability rose 44.5pp

Market data

Updated 4 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-07-30 13:18 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $19,421
Medium data confidence (61)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

94.5%

24h Change

+44.5 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

2d of stored history

31 stored snapshots · Latest sample Jul 30, 01:15 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
7/30/2026, 1:15:00 PM	94.5%
7/30/2026, 1:00:00 PM	93.5%
7/30/2026, 12:00:00 PM	91.5%
7/30/2026, 11:00:00 AM	88.5%
7/30/2026, 10:00:00 AM	85.5%
7/30/2026, 9:00:00 AM	81.5%
7/30/2026, 8:00:00 AM	65.5%
7/30/2026, 7:00:00 AM	63.0%
7/30/2026, 6:00:00 AM	68.5%
7/30/2026, 5:00:00 AM	62.5%
7/30/2026, 4:00:00 AM	70.5%
7/30/2026, 3:00:00 AM	70.5%
7/30/2026, 2:00:00 AM	75.5%
7/30/2026, 1:00:00 AM	57.5%
7/30/2026, 12:00:00 AM	68.5%
7/29/2026, 11:00:00 PM	64.5%
7/29/2026, 10:00:00 PM	55.5%
7/29/2026, 9:00:00 PM	43.0%
7/29/2026, 8:00:00 PM	46.5%
7/29/2026, 7:00:00 PM	71.0%
7/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM	50.0%
7/29/2026, 1:00:00 PM	50.0%
7/29/2026, 11:00:00 AM	50.0%
7/29/2026, 10:00:00 AM	50.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+3.0 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$34.8K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$19.4K

Market Significance

Moderate (66)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Jul 30, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 64/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 80

Persistence 44

Data Confidence Medium (61)

Next Steps

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