Will CD Nacional win on 2026-08-10?

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Current Probability

16.2%

24h Change

-5.3 pp

Signal Score

33/100

Data Confidence

High (76)

24h probability fell 5.3pp

Market data

Updated 1 hour ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-10 20:48 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $99,847
High data confidence (76)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

16.2%

24h Change

-5.3 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

167 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 10, 08:45 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/10/2026, 8:45:00 PM	16.2%
8/10/2026, 8:00:00 PM	22.4%
8/10/2026, 7:00:00 PM	19.5%
8/10/2026, 6:00:00 PM	19.5%
8/10/2026, 5:00:00 PM	19.5%
8/10/2026, 4:00:00 PM	18.5%
8/10/2026, 3:00:00 PM	18.5%
8/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM	18.5%
8/10/2026, 1:00:00 PM	17.5%
8/10/2026, 12:00:00 PM	18.5%
8/10/2026, 11:00:00 AM	18.5%
8/10/2026, 10:00:00 AM	19.5%
8/10/2026, 9:00:00 AM	19.5%
8/10/2026, 8:00:00 AM	19.5%
8/10/2026, 7:00:00 AM	19.5%
8/10/2026, 6:00:00 AM	19.5%
8/10/2026, 5:00:00 AM	20.5%
8/10/2026, 4:00:00 AM	20.5%
8/10/2026, 3:00:00 AM	20.5%
8/10/2026, 2:00:00 AM	21.5%
8/10/2026, 1:00:00 AM	21.5%
8/10/2026, 12:00:00 AM	21.5%
8/9/2026, 11:00:00 PM	21.5%
8/9/2026, 10:00:00 PM	21.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-3.4 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$111.3K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$99.8K

Market Significance

High (81)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 10, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 33/100.

Probability Momentum 18

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 90

Persistence 78

Data Confidence High (76)

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