Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-08-09?

Closed View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

100.0%

24h Change

+43.5 pp

Signal Score

87/100

Data Confidence

High (81)

24h probability rose 43.5pp; volume is 2277.5x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 4 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-09 18:47 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability rose 43.5pp
  • 24h volume is 2277.5x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $326,254

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 100.0% · Aug 9, 06:45 PM

42% 71% 100% Aug 8 Aug 9 Aug 9 Aug 9 Current 100.0% · 7d of stored history · 27 pts

Current

100.0%

24h Change

+43.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

166 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 9, 06:45 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/9/2026, 6:45:00 PM 100.0%
8/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM 100.0%
8/9/2026, 5:00:00 PM 100.0%
8/9/2026, 4:30:00 PM 100.0%
8/9/2026, 4:00:00 PM 100.0%
8/9/2026, 3:00:00 PM 47.5%
8/9/2026, 2:30:00 PM 48.5%
8/9/2026, 2:00:00 PM 57.5%
8/9/2026, 1:00:00 PM 55.5%
8/9/2026, 12:00:00 PM 54.5%
8/9/2026, 11:00:00 AM 54.5%
8/9/2026, 10:00:00 AM 55.5%
8/9/2026, 9:00:00 AM 55.5%
8/9/2026, 8:00:00 AM 55.5%
8/9/2026, 7:00:00 AM 55.5%
8/9/2026, 6:00:00 AM 55.5%
8/9/2026, 5:00:00 AM 57.5%
8/9/2026, 4:00:00 AM 57.5%
8/9/2026, 3:00:00 AM 57.5%
8/9/2026, 2:00:00 AM 57.5%
8/9/2026, 1:00:00 AM 57.5%
8/9/2026, 12:00:00 AM 57.5%
8/8/2026, 11:00:00 PM 57.5%
8/8/2026, 10:00:00 PM 57.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$396.4K

Volume vs Baseline

2277.5x baseline

Liquidity

$326.3K

Market Significance

High (84)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 9, 2026

Attention Score

99

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 87/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 100
Liquidity Quality 96
Persistence 20
Data Confidence High (81)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.