Will EC Bahia win on 2026-08-09?

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Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-48.4 pp

Signal Score

65/100

Data Confidence

High (73)

24h probability fell 48.4pp

Market data

Updated 2 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-09 22:35 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $126,240
High data confidence (73)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-48.4 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

166 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 9, 10:30 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/9/2026, 10:30:00 PM	0.1%
8/9/2026, 10:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/9/2026, 9:00:00 PM	1.8%
8/9/2026, 8:00:00 PM	35.5%
8/9/2026, 7:00:00 PM	46.5%
8/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM	47.5%
8/9/2026, 5:00:00 PM	47.5%
8/9/2026, 4:00:00 PM	47.5%
8/9/2026, 3:00:00 PM	47.5%
8/9/2026, 2:00:00 PM	47.5%
8/9/2026, 1:00:00 PM	48.5%
8/9/2026, 12:00:00 PM	48.5%
8/9/2026, 11:00:00 AM	48.5%
8/9/2026, 10:00:00 AM	48.5%
8/9/2026, 9:00:00 AM	48.5%
8/9/2026, 8:00:00 AM	48.5%
8/9/2026, 7:00:00 AM	48.5%
8/9/2026, 6:00:00 AM	48.5%
8/9/2026, 5:00:00 AM	48.5%
8/9/2026, 4:00:00 AM	48.5%
8/9/2026, 3:00:00 AM	48.5%
8/9/2026, 2:00:00 AM	48.5%
8/9/2026, 1:00:00 AM	48.5%
8/9/2026, 12:00:00 AM	48.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-1.7 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$101.5K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$126.2K

Market Significance

High (81)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 9, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 65/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 90

Persistence 42

Data Confidence High (73)

Next Steps

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