Will EC Vitória win on 2026-08-09?

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Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-6.5 pp

Signal Score

51/100

Data Confidence

High (81)

24h probability fell 6.5pp; volume is 276.2x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 16 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-10 02:07 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability fell 6.5pp
  • 24h volume is 276.2x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $209,477

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 0.1% · Aug 10, 02:00 AM

0% 4% 8% Aug 9 Aug 9 Aug 9 Aug 10 Current 0.1% · 7d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-6.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

152 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 10, 02:00 AM

View history table
Time Probability
8/10/2026, 2:00:00 AM 0.1%
8/10/2026, 1:00:00 AM 0.1%
8/10/2026, 12:00:00 AM 1.1%
8/9/2026, 11:00:00 PM 1.4%
8/9/2026, 10:00:00 PM 6.5%
8/9/2026, 9:00:00 PM 6.5%
8/9/2026, 8:00:00 PM 7.5%
8/9/2026, 7:00:00 PM 7.5%
8/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM 6.5%
8/9/2026, 5:00:00 PM 6.5%
8/9/2026, 4:00:00 PM 6.5%
8/9/2026, 3:00:00 PM 6.5%
8/9/2026, 2:00:00 PM 6.5%
8/9/2026, 1:00:00 PM 6.5%
8/9/2026, 12:00:00 PM 6.5%
8/9/2026, 11:00:00 AM 6.5%
8/9/2026, 10:00:00 AM 6.5%
8/9/2026, 9:00:00 AM 6.5%
8/9/2026, 8:00:00 AM 6.5%
8/9/2026, 7:00:00 AM 6.5%
8/9/2026, 6:00:00 AM 6.5%
8/9/2026, 5:00:00 AM 6.5%
8/9/2026, 4:00:00 AM 6.5%
8/9/2026, 3:00:00 AM 6.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$136.8K

Volume vs Baseline

276.2x baseline

Liquidity

$209.5K

Market Significance

High (81)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 9, 2026

Attention Score

75

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 51/100.

Probability Momentum 22
Volume Activity 100
Liquidity Quality 91
Persistence 20
Data Confidence High (81)

Next Steps

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