Will IK Start win on 2026-08-08?

Closed View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-41.4 pp

Signal Score

93/100

Data Confidence

High (85)

24h probability fell 41.4pp; volume is 515.4x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 1 hour ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-08 18:43 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability fell 41.4pp
24h volume is 515.4x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $145,990

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-41.4 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

167 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 8, 06:30 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/8/2026, 6:30:00 PM	0.1%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 PM	17.5%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 PM	47.5%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 PM	47.5%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 PM	43.5%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 PM	43.5%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 PM	43.5%
8/8/2026, 11:00:00 AM	43.5%
8/8/2026, 10:00:00 AM	43.5%
8/8/2026, 9:00:00 AM	43.5%
8/8/2026, 8:00:00 AM	42.5%
8/8/2026, 7:00:00 AM	42.5%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 AM	42.5%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 AM	42.5%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 AM	42.5%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 AM	42.5%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 AM	41.5%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 AM	41.5%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 AM	41.5%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 PM	41.5%
8/7/2026, 10:00:00 PM	41.5%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 PM	41.5%
8/7/2026, 8:00:00 PM	41.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-17.4 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$83.1K

Volume vs Baseline

515.4x baseline

Liquidity

$146.0K

Market Significance

High (80)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 8, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 93/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 100

Liquidity Quality 89

Persistence 65

Data Confidence High (85)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.

Back to radar Browse all markets View on Polymarket ↗