Samsun: Dan Added vs Kenta Miyoshi

Open · Resolves in 2 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

55.5%

24h Change

+14.0 pp

Signal Score

36/100

Data Confidence

Medium (60)

24h probability rose 14.0pp

Market data

Updated 4 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-07-30 13:18 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $284,715
  • Medium data confidence (60)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 55.5% · Jul 30, 01:15 PM

37% 53% 69% Jul 29 Jul 29 Jul 30 Jul 30 Current 55.5% · 2d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

55.5%

24h Change

+14.0 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

2d of stored history

40 stored snapshots · Latest sample Jul 30, 01:15 PM

View history table
Time Probability
7/30/2026, 1:15:00 PM 55.5%
7/30/2026, 1:00:00 PM 50.5%
7/30/2026, 12:00:00 PM 66.5%
7/30/2026, 11:00:00 AM 44.5%
7/30/2026, 10:00:00 AM 43.5%
7/30/2026, 9:00:00 AM 43.5%
7/30/2026, 8:00:00 AM 43.5%
7/30/2026, 7:00:00 AM 42.5%
7/30/2026, 6:00:00 AM 42.5%
7/30/2026, 5:00:00 AM 40.5%
7/30/2026, 4:00:00 AM 39.5%
7/30/2026, 3:00:00 AM 39.5%
7/30/2026, 2:00:00 AM 39.5%
7/30/2026, 1:00:00 AM 39.5%
7/30/2026, 12:00:00 AM 39.5%
7/29/2026, 11:00:00 PM 39.5%
7/29/2026, 10:00:00 PM 39.5%
7/29/2026, 9:00:00 PM 39.5%
7/29/2026, 8:00:00 PM 39.5%
7/29/2026, 7:00:00 PM 39.5%
7/29/2026, 6:00:00 PM 39.5%
7/29/2026, 5:00:00 PM 39.5%
7/29/2026, 4:00:00 PM 41.5%
7/29/2026, 3:00:00 PM 42.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-11.0 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$128.8K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$284.7K

Market Significance

High (74)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 2 days

End Date

Aug 6, 2026

Attention Score

32

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 36/100.

Probability Momentum 47
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 91
Persistence 10
Data Confidence Medium (60)

Next Steps

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