Mubadala Citi DC Open: Diana Shnaider vs Anastasia Potapova

Open · Resolves in 3 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

52.5%

24h Change

-4.0 pp

Signal Score

22/100

Data Confidence

Medium (60)

24h probability fell 4.0pp

Market data

Updated 4 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-07-30 18:59 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $317,855
  • Medium data confidence (60)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 52.5% · Jul 30, 06:45 PM

52% 55% 55% Jul 29 Jul 30 Jul 30 Jul 30 Current 52.5% · 1d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

52.5%

24h Change

-4.0 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

1d of stored history

31 stored snapshots · Latest sample Jul 30, 06:45 PM

View history table
Time Probability
7/30/2026, 6:45:00 PM 52.5%
7/30/2026, 6:00:00 PM 52.5%
7/30/2026, 5:00:00 PM 52.5%
7/30/2026, 4:00:00 PM 52.5%
7/30/2026, 3:00:00 PM 53.5%
7/30/2026, 2:00:00 PM 53.5%
7/30/2026, 1:00:00 PM 52.5%
7/30/2026, 12:00:00 PM 52.5%
7/30/2026, 11:00:00 AM 52.5%
7/30/2026, 10:00:00 AM 52.5%
7/30/2026, 9:00:00 AM 52.5%
7/30/2026, 8:00:00 AM 52.5%
7/30/2026, 7:00:00 AM 52.5%
7/30/2026, 6:00:00 AM 52.5%
7/30/2026, 5:00:00 AM 52.5%
7/30/2026, 4:00:00 AM 52.5%
7/30/2026, 3:00:00 AM 52.5%
7/30/2026, 2:00:00 AM 52.5%
7/30/2026, 1:00:00 AM 52.5%
7/30/2026, 12:00:00 AM 52.5%
7/29/2026, 11:00:00 PM 52.5%
7/29/2026, 10:00:00 PM 52.5%
7/29/2026, 9:00:00 PM 52.5%
7/29/2026, 8:00:00 PM 53.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$51.2K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$317.9K

Market Significance

High (72)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 3 days

End Date

Aug 6, 2026

Attention Score

21

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 22/100.

Probability Momentum 13
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 87
Persistence 20
Data Confidence Medium (60)

Next Steps

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