The Memphis Classic: Yexin Ma vs Caty McNally

Open · Resolves in 3 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

15.5%

24h Change

+4.0 pp

Signal Score

21/100

Data Confidence

Medium (59)

24h probability rose 4.0pp

Market data

Updated 4 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-07-30 18:59 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $371,368
  • Medium data confidence (59)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 15.5% · Jul 30, 06:45 PM

11% 15% 18% Jul 29 Jul 30 Jul 30 Jul 30 Current 15.5% · 2d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

15.5%

24h Change

+4.0 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

2d of stored history

39 stored snapshots · Latest sample Jul 30, 06:45 PM

View history table
Time Probability
7/30/2026, 6:45:00 PM 15.5%
7/30/2026, 6:00:00 PM 17.5%
7/30/2026, 5:00:00 PM 17.5%
7/30/2026, 4:00:00 PM 15.5%
7/30/2026, 3:00:00 PM 14.5%
7/30/2026, 2:00:00 PM 14.5%
7/30/2026, 1:00:00 PM 14.5%
7/30/2026, 12:00:00 PM 14.5%
7/30/2026, 11:00:00 AM 14.5%
7/30/2026, 10:00:00 AM 14.5%
7/30/2026, 9:00:00 AM 13.5%
7/30/2026, 8:00:00 AM 13.5%
7/30/2026, 7:00:00 AM 13.5%
7/30/2026, 6:00:00 AM 13.5%
7/30/2026, 5:00:00 AM 13.5%
7/30/2026, 4:00:00 AM 12.5%
7/30/2026, 3:00:00 AM 12.5%
7/30/2026, 2:00:00 AM 12.5%
7/30/2026, 1:00:00 AM 12.5%
7/30/2026, 12:00:00 AM 12.5%
7/29/2026, 11:00:00 PM 12.5%
7/29/2026, 10:00:00 PM 11.5%
7/29/2026, 9:00:00 PM 11.5%
7/29/2026, 8:00:00 PM 11.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-2.0 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$86.4K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$371.4K

Market Significance

High (73)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 3 days

End Date

Aug 6, 2026

Attention Score

22

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 21/100.

Probability Momentum 13
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 89
Persistence 10
Data Confidence Medium (59)

Next Steps

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