Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs 2GAME Esports (BO5) - VCL Americas: Last Chance Qualifier Playoffs

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Current Probability

49.5%

24h Change

-25.0 pp

Signal Score

52/100

Data Confidence

Medium (59)

24h probability fell 25.0pp

Market data

Updated 4 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-07-30 18:59 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $10,008
  • Medium data confidence (59)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 49.5% · Jul 30, 06:45 PM

32% 56% 81% Jul 29 Jul 30 Jul 30 Jul 30 Current 49.5% · 2d of stored history · 27 pts

Current

49.5%

24h Change

-25.0 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

2d of stored history

39 stored snapshots · Latest sample Jul 30, 06:45 PM

View history table
Time Probability
7/30/2026, 6:45:00 PM 49.5%
7/30/2026, 6:00:00 PM 49.0%
7/30/2026, 5:00:00 PM 49.5%
7/30/2026, 4:00:00 PM 49.0%
7/30/2026, 3:00:00 PM 50.5%
7/30/2026, 2:00:00 PM 50.0%
7/30/2026, 1:15:00 PM 50.0%
7/30/2026, 1:00:00 PM 50.0%
7/30/2026, 12:00:00 PM 50.0%
7/30/2026, 11:00:00 AM 51.5%
7/30/2026, 10:00:00 AM 46.0%
7/30/2026, 9:00:00 AM 36.0%
7/30/2026, 8:00:00 AM 40.5%
7/30/2026, 7:30:00 AM 41.0%
7/30/2026, 7:00:00 AM 56.5%
7/30/2026, 6:00:00 AM 54.5%
7/30/2026, 5:00:00 AM 61.5%
7/30/2026, 4:00:00 AM 67.5%
7/30/2026, 3:00:00 AM 73.0%
7/30/2026, 2:00:00 AM 66.5%
7/30/2026, 1:00:00 AM 59.0%
7/30/2026, 12:00:00 AM 71.5%
7/29/2026, 11:00:00 PM 71.5%
7/29/2026, 10:00:00 PM 63.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$52.1K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$10.0K

Market Significance

High (73)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Jul 30, 2026

Attention Score

41

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 52/100.

Probability Momentum 83
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 79
Persistence 20
Data Confidence Medium (59)

Next Steps

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