Vancouver: Harriet Dart vs Emma Dong

Open · Resolves in 2 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

100.0%

24h Change

+28.0 pp

Signal Score

57/100

Data Confidence

Medium (59)

24h probability rose 28.0pp

Market data

Updated 4 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-07-30 13:18 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $28,454
Medium data confidence (59)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

100.0%

24h Change

+28.0 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

1d of stored history

26 stored snapshots · Latest sample Jul 30, 01:15 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
7/30/2026, 1:15:00 PM	100.0%
7/30/2026, 1:00:00 PM	100.0%
7/30/2026, 12:00:00 PM	100.0%
7/30/2026, 11:00:00 AM	100.0%
7/30/2026, 10:00:00 AM	100.0%
7/30/2026, 9:00:00 AM	100.0%
7/30/2026, 8:00:00 AM	100.0%
7/30/2026, 7:30:00 AM	100.0%
7/30/2026, 7:00:00 AM	100.0%
7/30/2026, 6:00:00 AM	100.0%
7/30/2026, 5:00:00 AM	100.0%
7/30/2026, 4:00:00 AM	84.5%
7/30/2026, 3:00:00 AM	75.5%
7/30/2026, 2:00:00 AM	75.5%
7/30/2026, 1:00:00 AM	75.5%
7/30/2026, 12:00:00 AM	75.5%
7/29/2026, 11:00:00 PM	74.5%
7/29/2026, 10:00:00 PM	74.5%
7/29/2026, 9:00:00 PM	74.5%
7/29/2026, 8:00:00 PM	75.5%
7/29/2026, 7:00:00 PM	74.0%
7/29/2026, 5:00:00 PM	71.5%
7/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM	74.5%
7/29/2026, 1:00:00 PM	72.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$46.0K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$28.5K

Market Significance

Moderate (68)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 2 days

End Date

Aug 6, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 57/100.

Probability Momentum 93

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 82

Persistence 20

Data Confidence Medium (59)

Next Steps

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