S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 30?

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Current Probability

99.9%

24h Change

+49.9 pp

Signal Score

63/100

Data Confidence

Medium (61)

24h probability rose 49.9pp

Market data

Updated 4 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-07-30 18:59 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $23,819
Medium data confidence (61)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

99.9%

24h Change

+49.9 pp

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

Coverage

1d of stored history

29 stored snapshots · Latest sample Jul 30, 06:45 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
7/30/2026, 6:45:00 PM	99.9%
7/30/2026, 6:00:00 PM	99.3%
7/30/2026, 5:00:00 PM	98.9%
7/30/2026, 4:00:00 PM	96.0%
7/30/2026, 3:00:00 PM	92.5%
7/30/2026, 2:00:00 PM	93.5%
7/30/2026, 1:00:00 PM	81.5%
7/30/2026, 12:00:00 PM	78.5%
7/30/2026, 11:00:00 AM	75.5%
7/30/2026, 10:00:00 AM	71.0%
7/30/2026, 9:00:00 AM	68.5%
7/30/2026, 8:00:00 AM	62.0%
7/30/2026, 7:00:00 AM	63.5%
7/30/2026, 6:00:00 AM	66.5%
7/30/2026, 5:00:00 AM	66.0%
7/30/2026, 4:00:00 AM	68.5%
7/30/2026, 3:00:00 AM	70.5%
7/30/2026, 2:00:00 AM	74.0%
7/30/2026, 1:00:00 AM	67.0%
7/30/2026, 12:00:00 AM	63.5%
7/29/2026, 11:00:00 PM	60.0%
7/29/2026, 10:00:00 PM	47.5%
7/29/2026, 9:00:00 PM	49.0%
7/29/2026, 8:00:00 PM	57.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+1.0 pp

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

24h Volume

$48.5K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$23.8K

Market Significance

Moderate (68)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Jul 30, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 63/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 82

Persistence 41

Data Confidence Medium (61)

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