Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

17.5%

24h Change

-25.5 pp

Signal Score

67/100

Data Confidence

High (79)

24h probability fell 25.5pp

Market data

Updated 2 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-04 23:39 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $186,287
High data confidence (79)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

17.5%

24h Change

-25.5 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

6d of stored history

156 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 4, 11:30 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/4/2026, 11:30:00 PM	17.5%
8/4/2026, 11:00:00 PM	39.5%
8/4/2026, 10:00:00 PM	41.5%
8/4/2026, 9:00:00 PM	41.5%
8/4/2026, 8:00:00 PM	41.5%
8/4/2026, 7:00:00 PM	41.5%
8/4/2026, 6:15:00 PM	41.5%
8/4/2026, 6:00:00 PM	41.5%
8/4/2026, 5:00:00 PM	41.5%
8/4/2026, 4:00:00 PM	41.5%
8/4/2026, 3:00:00 PM	42.5%
8/4/2026, 2:00:00 PM	41.5%
8/4/2026, 1:00:00 PM	42.5%
8/4/2026, 12:00:00 PM	42.5%
8/4/2026, 11:00:00 AM	42.5%
8/4/2026, 10:00:00 AM	42.5%
8/4/2026, 9:00:00 AM	42.5%
8/4/2026, 8:00:00 AM	41.5%
8/4/2026, 7:00:00 AM	41.5%
8/4/2026, 6:00:00 AM	41.5%
8/4/2026, 5:00:00 AM	41.5%
8/4/2026, 4:00:00 AM	44.5%
8/4/2026, 3:00:00 AM	44.5%
8/4/2026, 2:00:00 AM	45.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-24.0 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$413.4K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$186.3K

Market Significance

High (77)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 11, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 67/100.

Probability Momentum 85

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 96

Persistence 96

Data Confidence High (79)

Next Steps

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