Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

54.5%

24h Change

+11.0 pp

Signal Score

44/100

Data Confidence

High (78)

24h probability rose 11.0pp

Market data

Updated 2 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-04 23:39 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $228,543
  • High data confidence (78)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 54.5% · Aug 4, 11:30 PM

42% 49% 56% Aug 4 Aug 4 Aug 4 Aug 4 Current 54.5% · 6d of stored history · 26 pts

Current

54.5%

24h Change

+11.0 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

6d of stored history

156 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 4, 11:30 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/4/2026, 11:30:00 PM 54.5%
8/4/2026, 11:00:00 PM 45.5%
8/4/2026, 10:00:00 PM 45.5%
8/4/2026, 9:00:00 PM 44.5%
8/4/2026, 8:00:00 PM 44.5%
8/4/2026, 7:00:00 PM 44.5%
8/4/2026, 6:15:00 PM 44.5%
8/4/2026, 6:00:00 PM 44.5%
8/4/2026, 5:00:00 PM 44.5%
8/4/2026, 4:00:00 PM 44.5%
8/4/2026, 3:00:00 PM 44.5%
8/4/2026, 2:00:00 PM 44.5%
8/4/2026, 1:00:00 PM 44.5%
8/4/2026, 12:00:00 PM 45.5%
8/4/2026, 11:00:00 AM 45.5%
8/4/2026, 10:00:00 AM 45.5%
8/4/2026, 9:00:00 AM 45.5%
8/4/2026, 8:00:00 AM 44.5%
8/4/2026, 7:00:00 AM 44.5%
8/4/2026, 6:00:00 AM 44.5%
8/4/2026, 5:00:00 AM 44.5%
8/4/2026, 4:00:00 AM 44.5%
8/4/2026, 3:00:00 AM 43.5%
8/4/2026, 2:00:00 AM 43.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+9.0 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$370.2K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$228.5K

Market Significance

High (77)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 11, 2026

Attention Score

30

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 44/100.

Probability Momentum 37
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 96
Persistence 89
Data Confidence High (78)

Next Steps

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