Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

4.5%

24h Change

-28.0 pp

Signal Score

69/100

Data Confidence

High (78)

24h probability fell 28.0pp

Market data

Updated 2 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-04 23:39 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $198,811
High data confidence (78)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

4.5%

24h Change

-28.0 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

6d of stored history

152 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 4, 11:30 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/4/2026, 11:30:00 PM	4.5%
8/4/2026, 11:00:00 PM	19.5%
8/4/2026, 10:00:00 PM	25.5%
8/4/2026, 9:00:00 PM	25.5%
8/4/2026, 8:00:00 PM	27.5%
8/4/2026, 7:00:00 PM	28.5%
8/4/2026, 6:15:00 PM	28.5%
8/4/2026, 6:00:00 PM	28.5%
8/4/2026, 5:00:00 PM	28.5%
8/4/2026, 4:00:00 PM	28.5%
8/4/2026, 3:00:00 PM	27.5%
8/4/2026, 2:00:00 PM	28.5%
8/4/2026, 1:00:00 PM	29.5%
8/4/2026, 12:00:00 PM	30.5%
8/4/2026, 11:00:00 AM	30.5%
8/4/2026, 10:00:00 AM	30.5%
8/4/2026, 9:00:00 AM	30.5%
8/4/2026, 8:00:00 AM	30.5%
8/4/2026, 7:00:00 AM	30.5%
8/4/2026, 6:00:00 AM	30.5%
8/4/2026, 5:00:00 AM	30.5%
8/4/2026, 4:00:00 AM	30.5%
8/4/2026, 3:00:00 AM	30.5%
8/4/2026, 2:00:00 AM	32.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-21.0 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$452.6K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$198.8K

Market Significance

High (77)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 11, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 69/100.

Probability Momentum 93

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 97

Persistence 85

Data Confidence High (78)

Next Steps

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