St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees
Current Probability
25.5%
24h Change
-15.0 pp
Signal Score
48/100
Data Confidence
High (77)
24h probability fell 15.0pp
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
- Liquidity depth $269,379
- High data confidence (77)
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Current
25.5%
24h Change
-15.0 pp
7d Change
Only 6d of listing history
Coverage
6d of stored history
View history table
| Time | Probability |
|---|---|
| 8/4/2026, 11:30:00 PM | 25.5% |
| 8/4/2026, 11:00:00 PM | 35.5% |
| 8/4/2026, 10:00:00 PM | 35.5% |
| 8/4/2026, 9:00:00 PM | 35.5% |
| 8/4/2026, 8:00:00 PM | 35.5% |
| 8/4/2026, 7:00:00 PM | 35.5% |
| 8/4/2026, 6:00:00 PM | 35.5% |
| 8/4/2026, 5:00:00 PM | 35.5% |
| 8/4/2026, 4:00:00 PM | 35.5% |
| 8/4/2026, 3:00:00 PM | 35.5% |
| 8/4/2026, 2:00:00 PM | 35.5% |
| 8/4/2026, 1:00:00 PM | 38.5% |
| 8/4/2026, 12:00:00 PM | 39.5% |
| 8/4/2026, 11:00:00 AM | 39.5% |
| 8/4/2026, 10:00:00 AM | 39.5% |
| 8/4/2026, 9:00:00 AM | 39.5% |
| 8/4/2026, 8:00:00 AM | 39.5% |
| 8/4/2026, 7:00:00 AM | 39.5% |
| 8/4/2026, 6:00:00 AM | 39.5% |
| 8/4/2026, 5:00:00 AM | 39.5% |
| 8/4/2026, 4:00:00 AM | 38.5% |
| 8/4/2026, 3:00:00 AM | 38.5% |
| 8/4/2026, 2:00:00 AM | 38.5% |
| 8/4/2026, 1:00:00 AM | 39.0% |
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
-10.0 pp
7d Change
Only 6d of listing history
24h Volume
$104.8K
Volume vs Baseline
Baseline unavailable
Liquidity
$269.4K
Market Significance
High (74)
Market Status
Open · Resolves in 7 days
End Date
Aug 11, 2026
Attention Score
33
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 48/100.
Probability Momentum
Strength of recent probability movement 50
Volume Activity
Trading activity versus the recent baseline 0
Liquidity Quality
Depth available to absorb orders without large price impact 90
Persistence
Whether the move holds across more than one lookback window 80
Data Confidence
Independent quality score for history coverage and data reliability High (77)