Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

64.5%

24h Change

Unchanged

Signal Score

17/100

Data Confidence

High (71)

Signal passed quality checks

Market data

Updated 2 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-04 23:39 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability was effectively unchanged
  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $639,742

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 64.5% · Aug 4, 11:30 PM

63% 66% 67% Aug 4 Aug 4 Aug 4 Aug 4 Current 64.5% · 6d of stored history · 26 pts

Current

64.5%

24h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

6d of stored history

156 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 4, 11:30 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/4/2026, 11:30:00 PM 64.5%
8/4/2026, 11:00:00 PM 64.5%
8/4/2026, 10:00:00 PM 64.5%
8/4/2026, 9:00:00 PM 64.5%
8/4/2026, 8:00:00 PM 64.5%
8/4/2026, 7:00:00 PM 64.5%
8/4/2026, 6:15:00 PM 65.5%
8/4/2026, 6:00:00 PM 65.5%
8/4/2026, 5:00:00 PM 65.5%
8/4/2026, 4:00:00 PM 65.5%
8/4/2026, 3:00:00 PM 66.5%
8/4/2026, 2:00:00 PM 66.5%
8/4/2026, 1:00:00 PM 64.5%
8/4/2026, 12:00:00 PM 64.5%
8/4/2026, 11:00:00 AM 64.5%
8/4/2026, 10:00:00 AM 64.5%
8/4/2026, 9:00:00 AM 64.5%
8/4/2026, 8:00:00 AM 64.5%
8/4/2026, 7:00:00 AM 63.5%
8/4/2026, 6:00:00 AM 64.5%
8/4/2026, 5:00:00 AM 64.5%
8/4/2026, 4:00:00 AM 64.5%
8/4/2026, 3:00:00 AM 64.5%
8/4/2026, 2:00:00 AM 64.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$288.4K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$639.7K

Market Significance

High (76)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 12, 2026

Attention Score

19

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 17/100.

Probability Momentum 0
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 95
Persistence 20
Data Confidence High (71)

Next Steps

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