Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on August 5?

Open · Resolves in 1 day View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

99.9%

24h Change

+0.9 pp

Signal Score

16/100

Data Confidence

Medium (69)

24h probability rose 0.9pp

Market data

Updated 1 hour ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-05 10:12 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $9,895
Medium data confidence (69)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

99.9%

24h Change

+0.9 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

7d of stored history

162 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 5, 10:00 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/5/2026, 10:00:00 AM	99.9%
8/5/2026, 9:00:00 AM	99.9%
8/5/2026, 8:00:00 AM	99.8%
8/5/2026, 7:00:00 AM	99.8%
8/5/2026, 6:00:00 AM	99.8%
8/5/2026, 5:00:00 AM	99.9%
8/5/2026, 4:00:00 AM	99.9%
8/5/2026, 3:00:00 AM	99.9%
8/5/2026, 2:00:00 AM	99.8%
8/5/2026, 1:00:00 AM	99.8%
8/5/2026, 12:00:00 AM	99.9%
8/4/2026, 11:00:00 PM	99.8%
8/4/2026, 10:00:00 PM	99.8%
8/4/2026, 9:00:00 PM	99.8%
8/4/2026, 8:00:00 PM	99.8%
8/4/2026, 7:00:00 PM	99.8%
8/4/2026, 6:00:00 PM	99.8%
8/4/2026, 5:00:00 PM	99.7%
8/4/2026, 4:00:00 PM	99.6%
8/4/2026, 3:00:00 PM	99.6%
8/4/2026, 2:00:00 PM	99.5%
8/4/2026, 1:00:00 PM	99.3%
8/4/2026, 12:00:00 PM	99.0%
8/4/2026, 11:00:00 AM	99.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$70.9K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$9.9K

Market Significance

Moderate (66)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 1 day

End Date

Aug 5, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 16/100.

Probability Momentum 3

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 80

Persistence 20

Data Confidence Medium (69)

Next Steps

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