The Hundred: Manchester Super Giants vs Trent Rockets

Open · Resolves in 4 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-52.5 pp

Signal Score

66/100

Data Confidence

Medium (64)

24h probability fell 52.5pp

Market data

Updated 3 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-07-31 21:48 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $144,729
  • Medium data confidence (64)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 0.1% · Jul 31, 09:45 PM

0% 29% 59% Jul 30 Jul 31 Jul 31 Jul 31 Current 0.1% · 2d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-52.5 pp

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

Coverage

2d of stored history

53 stored snapshots · Latest sample Jul 31, 09:45 PM

View history table
Time Probability
7/31/2026, 9:45:00 PM 0.1%
7/31/2026, 9:00:00 PM 0.1%
7/31/2026, 8:00:00 PM 7.7%
7/31/2026, 7:00:00 PM 41.0%
7/31/2026, 6:00:00 PM 34.5%
7/31/2026, 5:00:00 PM 51.5%
7/31/2026, 4:00:00 PM 52.5%
7/31/2026, 3:00:00 PM 52.5%
7/31/2026, 2:00:00 PM 53.5%
7/31/2026, 1:00:00 PM 52.5%
7/31/2026, 12:00:00 PM 52.5%
7/31/2026, 11:00:00 AM 52.5%
7/31/2026, 10:00:00 AM 51.5%
7/31/2026, 9:00:00 AM 52.5%
7/31/2026, 8:00:00 AM 52.5%
7/31/2026, 7:00:00 AM 52.0%
7/31/2026, 6:00:00 AM 52.0%
7/31/2026, 5:00:00 AM 52.0%
7/31/2026, 4:00:00 AM 52.5%
7/31/2026, 3:00:00 AM 52.5%
7/31/2026, 2:00:00 AM 51.5%
7/31/2026, 1:00:00 AM 51.5%
7/31/2026, 12:00:00 AM 51.5%
7/30/2026, 11:00:00 PM 51.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-7.6 pp

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

24h Volume

$139.1K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$144.7K

Market Significance

High (74)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 4 days

End Date

Aug 7, 2026

Attention Score

48

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 66/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 91
Persistence 49
Data Confidence Medium (64)

Next Steps

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