The Hundred, Women: Manchester Super Giants vs Trent Rockets

Open · Resolves in 3 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-51.5 pp

Signal Score

70/100

Data Confidence

Medium (66)

24h probability fell 51.5pp

Market data

Updated 3 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-07-31 17:12 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $364,767
  • Medium data confidence (66)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 0.1% · Jul 31, 05:00 PM

0% 31% 61% Jul 30 Jul 31 Jul 31 Jul 31 Current 0.1% · 2d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-51.5 pp

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

Coverage

2d of stored history

47 stored snapshots · Latest sample Jul 31, 05:00 PM

View history table
Time Probability
7/31/2026, 5:00:00 PM 0.1%
7/31/2026, 4:00:00 PM 24.5%
7/31/2026, 3:00:00 PM 36.5%
7/31/2026, 2:00:00 PM 55.5%
7/31/2026, 1:00:00 PM 47.5%
7/31/2026, 12:00:00 PM 48.5%
7/31/2026, 11:00:00 AM 48.5%
7/31/2026, 10:00:00 AM 49.5%
7/31/2026, 9:00:00 AM 48.5%
7/31/2026, 8:00:00 AM 48.5%
7/31/2026, 7:00:00 AM 49.0%
7/31/2026, 6:00:00 AM 50.5%
7/31/2026, 5:00:00 AM 49.5%
7/31/2026, 4:00:00 AM 49.0%
7/31/2026, 3:00:00 AM 50.5%
7/31/2026, 2:00:00 AM 52.0%
7/31/2026, 1:00:00 AM 52.5%
7/31/2026, 12:00:00 AM 52.0%
7/30/2026, 11:00:00 PM 52.0%
7/30/2026, 10:00:00 PM 52.0%
7/30/2026, 9:00:00 PM 50.5%
7/30/2026, 8:00:00 PM 51.0%
7/30/2026, 7:00:00 PM 50.5%
7/30/2026, 6:00:00 PM 50.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-24.4 pp

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

24h Volume

$412.5K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$364.8K

Market Significance

High (77)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 3 days

End Date

Aug 7, 2026

Attention Score

49

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 70/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 96
Persistence 69
Data Confidence Medium (66)

Next Steps

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