Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31?

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Current Probability

5.5%

24h Change

-44.5 pp

Signal Score

65/100

Data Confidence

Medium (62)

24h probability fell 44.5pp

Market data

Updated 55 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-07-31 10:05 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $43,008
  • Medium data confidence (62)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

No samples yet

Not enough history to chart yet (2d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.

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Current

5.5%

24h Change

-44.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

2d of stored history

0 stored snapshots

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-3.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$88.5K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$43.0K

Market Significance

High (71)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Jul 31, 2026

Attention Score

47

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 65/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 87
Persistence 44
Data Confidence Medium (62)

Next Steps

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