Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-12?

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Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-66.5 pp

Signal Score

97/100

Data Confidence

High (88)

24h probability fell 66.5pp; volume is 475.3x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 7 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-12 20:51 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability fell 66.5pp
24h volume is 475.3x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $104,983

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-66.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

161 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 12, 08:45 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/12/2026, 8:45:00 PM	0.1%
8/12/2026, 8:00:00 PM	47.5%
8/12/2026, 7:00:00 PM	54.5%
8/12/2026, 6:00:00 PM	59.5%
8/12/2026, 5:00:00 PM	65.5%
8/12/2026, 4:00:00 PM	65.5%
8/12/2026, 3:00:00 PM	67.5%
8/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM	67.5%
8/12/2026, 1:00:00 PM	66.5%
8/12/2026, 12:00:00 PM	65.5%
8/12/2026, 11:00:00 AM	65.5%
8/12/2026, 10:00:00 AM	67.5%
8/12/2026, 9:00:00 AM	67.5%
8/12/2026, 8:00:00 AM	67.5%
8/12/2026, 7:00:00 AM	68.5%
8/12/2026, 6:00:00 AM	68.5%
8/12/2026, 5:00:00 AM	68.5%
8/12/2026, 4:00:00 AM	68.5%
8/12/2026, 3:00:00 AM	68.5%
8/12/2026, 2:00:00 AM	68.5%
8/12/2026, 1:00:00 AM	68.5%
8/12/2026, 12:00:00 AM	68.0%
8/11/2026, 11:00:00 PM	67.5%
8/11/2026, 10:00:00 PM	67.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-54.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$126.9K

Volume vs Baseline

475.3x baseline

Liquidity

$105.0K

Market Significance

High (81)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 12, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 97/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 100

Liquidity Quality 91

Persistence 89

Data Confidence High (88)

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