UFC Fight Night: Milos Janicic vs. Noah Gugnon (Lightweight, Main Card)

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Current Probability

50.5%

24h Change

+3.0 pp

Signal Score

21/100

Data Confidence

Medium (60)

24h probability rose 3.0pp

Market data

Updated 2 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-01 15:43 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $92,896
Medium data confidence (60)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

50.5%

24h Change

+3.0 pp

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

Coverage

3d of stored history

66 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 1, 03:30 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/1/2026, 3:30:00 PM	50.5%
8/1/2026, 3:00:00 PM	50.5%
8/1/2026, 2:00:00 PM	50.5%
8/1/2026, 1:00:00 PM	49.5%
8/1/2026, 12:00:00 PM	49.5%
8/1/2026, 11:00:00 AM	49.5%
8/1/2026, 10:00:00 AM	48.5%
8/1/2026, 9:00:00 AM	48.5%
8/1/2026, 8:00:00 AM	48.5%
8/1/2026, 7:00:00 AM	48.5%
8/1/2026, 6:00:00 AM	48.5%
8/1/2026, 5:00:00 AM	48.5%
8/1/2026, 4:00:00 AM	47.5%
8/1/2026, 3:00:00 AM	47.5%
8/1/2026, 2:00:00 AM	47.5%
8/1/2026, 1:00:00 AM	47.5%
8/1/2026, 12:00:00 AM	47.5%
7/31/2026, 11:00:00 PM	47.5%
7/31/2026, 10:00:00 PM	47.5%
7/31/2026, 9:00:00 PM	47.5%
7/31/2026, 8:00:00 PM	47.5%
7/31/2026, 7:00:00 PM	47.5%
7/31/2026, 6:00:00 PM	47.5%
7/31/2026, 5:00:00 PM	47.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

24h Volume

$81.7K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$92.9K

Market Significance

High (72)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 2, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 21/100.

Probability Momentum 10

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 89

Persistence 20

Data Confidence Medium (60)

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