Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?

Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?

Open · Resolves in 150 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

6.0%

24h Change

-0.5 pp

Signal Score

16/100

Data Confidence

Medium (69)

24h probability fell 0.5pp

Market data

Updated 2 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-02 07:40 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $20,469
Medium data confidence (69)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

6.0%

24h Change

-0.5 pp

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

Coverage

3d of stored history

81 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 2, 07:30 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/2/2026, 7:30:00 AM	6.0%
8/2/2026, 7:00:00 AM	6.0%
8/2/2026, 6:00:00 AM	6.0%
8/2/2026, 5:00:00 AM	6.0%
8/2/2026, 4:00:00 AM	6.5%
8/2/2026, 3:00:00 AM	7.0%
8/2/2026, 2:00:00 AM	6.5%
8/2/2026, 1:00:00 AM	6.5%
8/2/2026, 12:00:00 AM	6.5%
8/1/2026, 11:00:00 PM	6.5%
8/1/2026, 10:00:00 PM	6.5%
8/1/2026, 9:00:00 PM	6.5%
8/1/2026, 8:00:00 PM	6.5%
8/1/2026, 7:00:00 PM	6.5%
8/1/2026, 6:00:00 PM	6.5%
8/1/2026, 5:00:00 PM	6.5%
8/1/2026, 4:00:00 PM	6.5%
8/1/2026, 3:00:00 PM	6.5%
8/1/2026, 2:00:00 PM	6.5%
8/1/2026, 1:00:00 PM	6.5%
8/1/2026, 12:00:00 PM	6.5%
8/1/2026, 11:00:00 AM	6.5%
8/1/2026, 10:00:00 AM	6.5%
8/1/2026, 9:00:00 AM	6.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

24h Volume

$49.5K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$20.5K

Market Significance

High (73)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 150 days

End Date

Dec 31, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 16/100.

Probability Momentum 2

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 81

Persistence 20

Data Confidence Medium (69)

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