LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Open · Resolves in 1 day View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

86.5%

24h Change

+17.0 pp

Signal Score

53/100

Data Confidence

High (78)

24h probability rose 17.0pp

Market data

Updated 2 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-05 10:12 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $216,899
  • High data confidence (78)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 86.5% · Aug 5, 10:00 AM

68% 78% 88% Aug 4 Aug 4 Aug 5 Aug 5 Current 86.5% · 6d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

86.5%

24h Change

+17.0 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

6d of stored history

154 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 5, 10:00 AM

View history table
Time Probability
8/5/2026, 10:00:00 AM 86.5%
8/5/2026, 9:00:00 AM 71.5%
8/5/2026, 8:00:00 AM 73.5%
8/5/2026, 7:00:00 AM 73.5%
8/5/2026, 6:00:00 AM 74.5%
8/5/2026, 5:00:00 AM 74.5%
8/5/2026, 4:00:00 AM 74.5%
8/5/2026, 3:00:00 AM 74.5%
8/5/2026, 2:00:00 AM 73.5%
8/5/2026, 1:00:00 AM 73.5%
8/5/2026, 12:00:00 AM 73.5%
8/4/2026, 11:00:00 PM 73.5%
8/4/2026, 10:00:00 PM 73.5%
8/4/2026, 9:00:00 PM 73.5%
8/4/2026, 8:00:00 PM 71.5%
8/4/2026, 7:00:00 PM 71.5%
8/4/2026, 6:00:00 PM 71.5%
8/4/2026, 5:00:00 PM 71.5%
8/4/2026, 4:00:00 PM 71.5%
8/4/2026, 3:00:00 PM 70.5%
8/4/2026, 2:00:00 PM 70.5%
8/4/2026, 1:00:00 PM 70.5%
8/4/2026, 12:00:00 PM 70.5%
8/4/2026, 11:00:00 AM 69.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+15.0 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$226.2K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$216.9K

Market Significance

High (75)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 1 day

End Date

Aug 5, 2026

Attention Score

36

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 53/100.

Probability Momentum 57
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 94
Persistence 93
Data Confidence High (78)

Next Steps

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