LoL: EDward Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Open · Resolves in 1 day View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

16.5%

24h Change

-1.5 pp

Signal Score

17/100

Data Confidence

Medium (69)

24h probability fell 1.5pp

Market data

Updated 1 hour ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-05 10:12 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $89,924
  • Medium data confidence (69)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 16.5% · Aug 5, 10:00 AM

13% 16% 19% Aug 4 Aug 4 Aug 5 Aug 5 Current 16.5% · 6d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

16.5%

24h Change

-1.5 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

6d of stored history

154 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 5, 10:00 AM

View history table
Time Probability
8/5/2026, 10:00:00 AM 16.5%
8/5/2026, 9:00:00 AM 15.5%
8/5/2026, 8:00:00 AM 14.5%
8/5/2026, 7:00:00 AM 14.5%
8/5/2026, 6:00:00 AM 14.5%
8/5/2026, 5:00:00 AM 14.5%
8/5/2026, 4:00:00 AM 14.5%
8/5/2026, 3:00:00 AM 14.5%
8/5/2026, 2:00:00 AM 15.5%
8/5/2026, 1:00:00 AM 15.0%
8/5/2026, 12:00:00 AM 14.5%
8/4/2026, 11:00:00 PM 13.5%
8/4/2026, 10:00:00 PM 13.5%
8/4/2026, 9:00:00 PM 13.5%
8/4/2026, 8:00:00 PM 13.5%
8/4/2026, 7:00:00 PM 15.5%
8/4/2026, 6:00:00 PM 16.5%
8/4/2026, 5:00:00 PM 16.5%
8/4/2026, 4:00:00 PM 16.5%
8/4/2026, 3:00:00 PM 16.5%
8/4/2026, 2:00:00 PM 17.5%
8/4/2026, 1:00:00 PM 15.5%
8/4/2026, 12:00:00 PM 17.5%
8/4/2026, 11:00:00 AM 17.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+1.0 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$70.7K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$89.9K

Market Significance

High (72)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 1 day

End Date

Aug 5, 2026

Attention Score

19

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 17/100.

Probability Momentum 5
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 88
Persistence 10
Data Confidence Medium (69)

Next Steps

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