LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

Open · Resolves in 1 day View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

61.5%

24h Change

+1.5 pp

Signal Score

54/100

Data Confidence

High (88)

24h probability rose 1.5pp; volume is 370.0x the prior 6-day daily average

Data may be stale — last sync exceeded two update cycles. Freshness updates on the next successful sync.

Market data

Updated 5 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-06 10:15 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability rose 1.5pp
  • 24h volume is 370.0x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $222,217

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 61.5% · Aug 6, 10:15 AM

59% 62% 65% Aug 5 Aug 5 Aug 6 Aug 6 Current 61.5% · 7d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

61.5%

24h Change

+1.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

163 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 6, 10:15 AM

View history table
Time Probability
8/6/2026, 10:15:00 AM 61.5%
8/6/2026, 10:00:00 AM 60.5%
8/6/2026, 9:00:00 AM 59.5%
8/6/2026, 8:00:00 AM 59.5%
8/6/2026, 7:00:00 AM 60.5%
8/6/2026, 6:00:00 AM 62.5%
8/6/2026, 5:00:00 AM 60.5%
8/6/2026, 4:00:00 AM 59.5%
8/6/2026, 3:00:00 AM 59.5%
8/6/2026, 2:00:00 AM 59.5%
8/6/2026, 1:00:00 AM 59.5%
8/6/2026, 12:00:00 AM 59.5%
8/5/2026, 11:00:00 PM 59.5%
8/5/2026, 10:00:00 PM 61.5%
8/5/2026, 9:00:00 PM 62.5%
8/5/2026, 8:00:00 PM 64.5%
8/5/2026, 7:00:00 PM 62.5%
8/5/2026, 6:00:00 PM 62.5%
8/5/2026, 5:00:00 PM 63.5%
8/5/2026, 4:00:00 PM 63.5%
8/5/2026, 3:00:00 PM 61.0%
8/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM 59.5%
8/5/2026, 1:00:00 PM 59.5%
8/5/2026, 12:00:00 PM 59.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+2.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$248.1K

Volume vs Baseline

370.0x baseline

Liquidity

$222.2K

Market Significance

High (75)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 1 day

End Date

Aug 6, 2026

Attention Score

70

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 54/100.

Probability Momentum 5
Volume Activity 100
Liquidity Quality 94
Persistence 85
Data Confidence High (88)

Next Steps

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